Warning appeared to be based on North Korea’s unveiling at a parade in October of what would be its largest ICBM yet (File photo by= AP) |
[Asia News = Reporter Reakkana] SEOUL: North Korea could conduct an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) or nuclear test to pressure America ahead of the U.S. midterm elections slated for November next year, a Seoul-based think tank said Tuesday.
The Kim Jong-un regime has refrained from ICBM and nuclear tests since November 2017. Still, it could break the self-imposed moratorium next year to draw Washington's attention before the critical political event, according to the 2022 forecast by the Asan Institute for Policy Studies. "North Korea is likely to focus more on provocations rather than dialogue," the institute said, noting the possibility it could engage in saber-rattling between May and November. In May, a new government in Seoul is set to be launched. Following its tests of a new submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) and a hypersonic missile earlier this year, Pyongyang may opt to launch faster, longer-range missiles or a new submarine ratchet up military tensions on the Korean Peninsula.
The think tank said that the North could resume a nuclear test or launches of intermediate-range or long-range missiles, including an ICBM, should the Joe Biden administration not budge despite these provocations. Denuclearization negotiations between the U.S. and the North have remained stalled since the two countries' no-deal Hanoi summit in 2019